Americans are feeling better about their finances than at any time since the Great Recession of 2007-09, but that doesnât mean they are ready to go on a spending spree.
Despite a sharp decline in layoffs since the recession and progress paying down their debt, 41 percent of Americans told researchers in a Bankrate.
com survey that their top financial priority is getting caught up on bills or staying current on living expenses. Two-thirds say they are limiting spending because they havenât had a bump in pay or they need to save more.
The bitter experiences of the recession have left people preoccupied with the need to save rather than spend, and only
20 percent said they are more comfortable now with their level of saving than in the past.
Their mindset is in stark contrast to the âshop till you dropâ days that proceeded the two painful recessions of the last decade. Those recessions taught people about their financial fragility. And the caution thatâs left could continue to challenge retailers during the holiday shopping season despite University of Michigan consumer confidence numbers at an eight-year high. In other words, people might feel more confident about their jobs and the economy after surviving the recession, but thatâs not the same thing as feeling sure they can withstand another brutal downturn.
âThere has been a mood shift from the pessimism that existed during and after the recession,â with consumers feeling less vulnerable now after paying down debt during the last few years, said Greg McBride, analyst for Bankrate.com, a financial website that commissioned Princeton Survey Research Associates to do the national telephone survey. âThey are feeling more job security, and are coming out of their shell, but they are still very risk averse,â he said.
Consumers feel compelled to save more, but havenât had the income gains they say will allow them to do it adequately.
âThey know they have woefully undersaved, and they arenât making progress,â McBride noted. âSaving remains their weak spot. âSo Americans have âvery cautiously increased their spending and borrowing while their incomes havenât increased.â
âThey donât have extra money to throw around and are a little queasy,â McBride said. He thinks thatâs why the nationâs growth has been lethargic since the recession.
Millennials, the group of 18- to 29-year-olds that typically would be stoking the economy as they set up households, are the most adamant about saving. According to the Bankrate research, they have built up sizable emergency savings accounts.
Yet, millennials also are the least concerned about their wages. The most nervous group includes Americans 50 and older.
McBride said people close to retirement realize they havenât saved enough and understand that a plunge in the stock market could slash what they have saved. Further, safe investments are paying little interest, so people, focused on catching up before retirement, arenât getting there, McBride said. And people over 50 were among the long-term unemployed in the recession so they feel less secure about their jobs although layoffs have slowed.
Previous research by the Urban Institute showed more young people than older lost jobs in the recession, but younger workers tended to get jobs relatively quickly while those over 50 were still looking for work more than six months later. On average, the older workers took 23 percent pay cuts in new jobs.
People close to retirement still are trying to catch up, and a Gallup poll last spring showed 68 percent of 50- to 64-year-olds worried they wouldnât have enough money for
retirement. They werenât alone in that worry. About 70 percent of people 30 to 49 years old shared the retirement concerns, as did 50 percent in the 18- to
29-year-old group.
While people worry, McBride noted, their cautious attitude also is going to hurt them in the long run.
When asked how they should invest money they wonât need for 10 years, people of all ages âshowed an outsize preference for cash,â he said. Real estate investments were next and the stock market was a distant third. The strongest believers in staying safe with cash were millennials.
âThis is scary,â McBride said. âEven if they save a lot more, they wonât be able to accumulate the nest egg they will need. Americans were never good savers. Now their attitude has changed, but they canât move the needle.â
Gail MarksJarvis is a personal finance columnist for the Chicago Tribune and author of âSaving for Retirement Without Living Like a Pauper or Winning the Lottery.â Readers may send
her email at
gmarksjarvis@tribune
. com.