Winter storm forecast to bring snow, freezing rain to Northland on Monday
It appears March will go out like a lion in the Northland, with chances increasing that an early spring storm will bring heavy snow and possibly freezing rain to parts of the region from late Sunday night through Tuesday morning.
“There’s still quite a bit of uncertainty regarding the track and the amount of warm air that’s going to be present,” National Weather Service meteorologist Dean Melde said Saturday. The forecast models “all agree a lot of precipitation will fall; we’re just not sure what form it will be.”
As of Saturday evening, it appeared that areas north and west of Duluth — including the Iron Range — had the best chance of seeing the heaviest snow from the storm, with accumulations perhaps exceeding a foot in some areas by Tuesday morning.
Accumulating snow is possible in the Twin Ports, too, but there’s also a chance of some freezing rain. Melde said gusty northeast winds off Lake Superior on Monday may cool the lower levels of the atmosphere while warm air remains aloft — a setup that may allow for liquid precipitation to freeze when it reaches the ground, especially along the higher terrain in the Duluth area.
To the south, in the Twin Cities and across much of Northwestern Wisconsin, the precipitation may remain mainly rain. But Melde stressed the need to keep tabs on the forecast today, because a slight change in the track of the storm may make a big difference in who gets snow, and how much.
“There’s a lot that has yet to be determined,” Melde said. “These early spring storms are notoriously difficult.”
Whether rain, snow or ice, the precipitation should start late Sunday night well north of Duluth, and pick up across the region on Monday — especially in the afternoon and evening hours.
As of Saturday night a winter storm watch was posted for most of Northeastern Minnesota from Monday morning through Tuesday afternoon. A winter storm watch was in effect for Pine and Douglas counties from Monday evening through Tuesday afternoon. Check back to www.duluthnewstribune.com for forecast updates on Sunday.
Duluth’s seasonal snowfall total stands at 104.7 inches, 26.5 inches above average and good for 14th place on the list of snowiest winters on record in the city. A snowfall of 2.5 inches would move Duluth into 13th place, and a snowfall of 4.5 inches would move the city into the top 10.
SNOWIEST WINTERS IN DULUTH
- 1. 1995-96, 135.4 inches
- 2. 1949-50, 131.8 inches
- 3. 2012-13, 129.4 inches
- 4. 1996-97, 128.2 inches
- 5. 1968-69, 121 inches
- 6. 1988-89, 119.1 inches
- 7. 1970-71, 116.9 inches
- 8. 1964-65, 110.8 inches
- 9. 2003-04, 109.9 inches
- 10. 1950-51, 109.1 inches
- 11. 1993-94, 108.3 inches
- 12. 1983-84, 107.3 inches
- 13. 1971-72, 107.1 inches
- 14. 2013-14, 104.7 inches (and counting)
- 15. 1955-56, 103.5 inches